Matt Serra vs. Georges St. Pierre
Rich Franklin vs. Travis Lutter
Nate Quarry vs. Kalib Starnes
Michael Bisping vs. Charles McCarthy
Mac Danzig vs. Mark Bocek
Preliminary Bouts:
Jason MacDonald vs. Joe Doerksen
Sam Stout vs. Rich Clementi
Kuniyoshi Hironaka vs. Jonathan Goulet
Alan Belcher vs. Jason Day
Cain Velasquez vs. Brad Morris
Ed Herman vs. Demian Maia
Cain Velasquez vs. Brad Morris:
Don't know much about either fighter. Velasquez is being brought in to win and is supposed to be an up and coming heavyweight. I will take him in this fight.
Kuniyoshi Hironaka vs. Jonathan Goulet:
Hironaka can take a beating but I don't think Goulet will provide that beating. Hironaka could win this one by submission but I think it will be decision since Goulet will be in front of his home crowd in Canada and try to grind it out till the end. Hironaka by decision.
Ed Herman vs. Demian Maia:
This is not an easy one to call. Herman has lost 4 fights in his career. 3 via submission. Maia is a Brazilian jiu jitsu fighter who has yet to be defeated in 6 fights and has won 4 of those via submission. I have flip flopped back and forth on this one and I'm going to have to pick Maia. Herman has either looked terrible against or lost to any fighter with a strong submission game. Herman's cardio will begin failing him midway through the second round where he will fall into a triangle choke and be put to sleep. Maia by submission in Rd. 2.
Sam Stout vs. Rich Clementi:
Sam Stout should be the far better striker in this match. His submission defense leaves a lot to be desired. Outside of his loss to Din Thomas, Clementi has looked good in his recent fights. I am going to give Clementi the edge for being the more well rounded mixed martial artist and for being more experienced. If he doesn't get knocked out first, Clementi should win via submission in the 2nd or 3rd round. Probably via rear naked choke. Clementi by submission in round 2.
Alan Belcher vs. Jason Day:
Alan Belcher had to pull out of his last fight due to illness. He had trained and still tried to fight even with one working lung. The doctors didn't clear him and he flew back home. Expect Belcher to take out his frustration on Jason Day. Belcher by KO/TKO in RD. 1
Mac Danzig vs. Mark Bocek:
Danzig is back at his natural weight of 155. This fight will not be close. Danzig will get the better of the stand up and once the fight hits the ground the submission will be early. I'd be surprised if this fight went past round 1. Danzig via submission Rd. 1.
Nate Quarry vs. Kalib Starnes :
I respect Nate Quarry but I do not feel he should be fighting. He has a surgically fused back, his mobility is shot, he has almost zero head movement at all in his stand up game and I don't think anything can shake off the cage rust he has. 1 fight in almost 3 years is tough to overcome without throwing in injuries and age. Starnes needs the fight to go to the ground one time in order to secure the victory. I could see Quarry grinding out a decision loss but I'm going to predict a Starnes submission late in the fight. Starnes by submission in round 3.
Jason MacDonald vs. Joe Doerksen:
This match is going to come down to the ground game where both fighters excel. J-Mac is just a superior athlete and his conditioning will give him the advantage. He will win a unanimous decision. MacDonald via decision.
Michael Bisping vs. Charles McCarthy:
Bisping hasn't looked too impressive in his last 2 fights. Most people believe he got a gift decision against Matt Hamill and it's impossible to have a good looking fight against Rashad Evans. Bisping is going down a weight class and entering a 185 lb. match for the first time. He will be the taller stronger and more well rounded fighter in this match up. Bisping by TKO in Rd. 2.
Rich Franklin vs. Travis Lutter:
Rich Franklin will be a contender at 185 lbs. his whole career. The problem is he will not be a champion again if it means beating Anderson Silva. Travis Lutter is no Anderson Silva. I think Rich will respect Lutter's ground game a little bit too much and win this one via a cautious decision. Franklin by decision.
Matt Serra vs. Georges St. Pierre:
I lost a lot of money in their last fight. Enjoy that lottery ticket Serra. GSP will not lose this fight. He is one of the best athletes we will ever see in this sport. After he dominates Serra and wins this Saturday we will be treated to one of the greatest moments in the sport of MMA. GSP celebrating with his hometown fans, avenging his last of only 2 losses in his career and validating himself as a dominant champion in arguably the toughest division in the UFC. GSP by KO/TKO in round 1.
I will be attending this event and leave for Montreal on Friday morning. I will post my gambling recommendations on Thursday. Sorry I haven't been blogging as much. I was just waiting for this event to near. I will tell you how everything goes in Canada next week. Thanks for reading.
Tony "Tito" Ortiz
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